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Customers Bancorp, Inc. (CUBI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Core results were resilient: core EPS $1.36, +1% q/q (vs $1.34), while GAAP EPS fell to $0.71 on a strategic securities repositioning loss; NIM expanded 5 bps to 3.11% and NII grew 6% q/q on deposit cost reductions .
  • Deposits and funding mix improved: total deposits +4% q/q to $18.85B with non‑interest bearing +20% q/q to $5.61B (29.7% of total); cost of deposits fell 39 bps to 3.07% .
  • Balance sheet growth and credit solid: loans +4% q/q to $14.65B; NPAs 0.25% of assets; reserves/NPLs 316% (up from 281% in Q3) .
  • 2025 outlook introduced: loan growth 7–10%, deposit growth 5–9%, NII +3–7%, core efficiency low‑mid 50s, CET1 ~11.5%, tax rate 22–25% (top‑quartile ambition) .
  • Potential catalysts: continued NIM/NII tailwinds from deposit remix and lower funding costs, sustained NIB mix (cubiX) and fee ramp, plus operating leverage as elevated risk‑management spend tapers by mid‑year 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Deposit franchise execution: >$1B gross inflows; deposit cost −39 bps q/q to 3.07%; NIB mix to 29.7% of deposits .
    • Margin and NII: NIM +5 bps to 3.11% and NII +6% q/q, driven by liability repricing and higher average NIB balances .
    • Digital platform migration and fees: 100% transfer of instant payments clients to in‑house cubiX; ~$5M annual run‑rate fee contribution and lower third‑party tech costs; Q4 cubiX fees nearly $2M; management: “we fully transferred all CBIT customers to our in‑house developed cubiX platform” .
  • What Went Wrong
    • GAAP earnings impact from securities repositioning: ~$26.7M pre‑tax loss (≈$20.0M post‑tax) to improve structural liquidity and reduce asset sensitivity; GAAP EPS fell to $0.71 .
    • Operating expenses: core non‑interest expense rose ~$2.2M q/q (ex Q3 one‑time credit) primarily on professional services for risk‑management enhancements .
    • Slight uptick in credit provisioning: total provision for credit losses increased to $21.2M (vs $17.1M in Q3), including $3.0M on AFS securities; NPAs rose modestly to 0.25% of assets .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Core Revenue ($M)$191.4 $167.5 $193.5
Net Interest Income ($M)$172.5 $158.5 $167.8
Non‑Interest Income ($M)$18.7 $8.6 $(0.4)
Diluted EPS ($)$1.79 $1.31 $0.71
Core EPS ($)$1.90 $1.34 $1.36
Net Interest Margin (%)3.31% 3.06% 3.11%
Cost of Deposits (%)3.39% 3.46% 3.07%
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$13.5 $17.1 $21.2
Net Charge‑offs ($M)$17.3 $17.0 $14.6
Balance & CapitalQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Deposits ($M)$17,920.2 $18,069.4 $18,846.5
Non‑Interest Bearing Deposits ($M)$4,422.5 $4,670.8 $5,608.3
Total Loans & Leases ($M)$13,202.1 $14,053.1 $14,653.6
CET1 Ratio (%)12.2% 12.5% 12.0%
TBV/Share ($)$47.61 $52.96 $54.08
NPAs / Assets (%)0.13% 0.22% 0.25%
Reserves / NPLs (%)499% 281% 316%

KPIs and Operating Drivers

  • Gross deposit inflows: “over $1B” in Q4; NIB share 29.7% (spot), up from 25.9% in Q3 .
  • Deposit beta/tailwinds: average deposit cost −39 bps q/q; management cited 64% beta so far in easing cycle; margin largely liability‑led .
  • Instant payments platform (cubiX): full migration completed; ~+$5M annual fee run‑rate; Q4 fees almost $2M; spot balances ~$3.6B at year‑end (held in cash) .

Segment and Mix (selected)

  • FY’24 Loan Growth by Vertical (Δ, $B): Mortgage Finance +0.4; Fund Finance +0.4; Commercial Banking Teams +0.4; Healthcare +0.3; Equipment Finance +0.2; Multifamily +0.1; Consumer Installment −0.2; Other −0.1; Total +1.6 .

Estimates vs. Actuals

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable at time of writing due to access limits; therefore we cannot show beat/miss for EPS or revenue. Values were not retrieved from S&P Global due to API limits.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Deposit GrowthFY 20255% – 9%New/initiated
Loan GrowthFY 20257% – 10%New/initiated
Net Interest IncomeFY 2025+3% – +7% y/yNew/initiated
Core Efficiency RatioFY 2025Low–mid 50sNew/initiated
CET1FY 2025~11.5% target (framework)~11.5% targetMaintained
Effective Tax RateFY 202518%–20% for 2024 (Q3 guide)22%–25%New (period reset to 2025)

Management color: 2025 NII could have upside depending on deposit remix timing; ex 2024 venture accretion, they see 7%–10% NII growth on a comparable basis; internal focus on deposit‑led loan growth and positive operating leverage as elevated professional services taper by mid‑year .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024, Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Deposit transformation & costQ2: −5 bps CoD to 3.40%, remix out higher‑cost consumer, new teams building pipeline ; Q3: +$1.1B gross inflows, CoD 3.46%, remix continued .CoD −39 bps q/q to 3.07%; NIB to 29.7%; >$1B gross inflows .Improving
cubiX/real‑time paymentsQ2: platform as treasury and payments lever, teams to lower funding cost .100% migration; ~$5M annual fee run‑rate; Q4 fees nearly $2M; balances ~ $3.6B held in cash .Scaling monetization
NIM/NII driversQ2: NIM +19 bps to 3.29%, liability and asset mix improved . Q3: NIM dip to 3.06% from accretion/prepay decline and asset remix; guided Q4 flattish .NIM +5 bps to 3.11%; NII +6% q/q on lower deposit costs and higher NIB .Stabilizing ↑
Securities repositioningQ2: ~$220M rotation to reduce asset sensitivity .Sold ~$480M low‑yielding; reinvest to higher‑yield loans/securities; ~5.5% pre‑tax loss; 5 bps NIM pickup in 2025 expected .Positioning for 2025
Risk management spendQ3: noted elevated outside services for enhancements .~$5.5–$6.0M peak pro services in Dec/Jan; tapering to normalized by mid‑2025 .Nearing peak; to decline
Regulatory backdropQ3: capital targets reiterated (CET1/TCE) .Mgmt expects more favorable macro/regulatory tone in 2025; will maintain higher capital near‑term .Constructive
Credit qualityQ2/Q3: NPAs ~0.22–0.23%, strong reserves; consumer mix shift lower .NPAs 0.25%; NCOs down q/q; reserves/NPLs 316%; office CRE ~1% of book (press release) .Stable

Management Commentary

  • “We once again had $1 billion of gross deposit inflows… reduced our average cost of deposits by 39 basis points… we bucked the market trend growing our loan portfolio at a 19% annualized pace… NII growth in the quarter of 6% and also increased margin by 5 basis points.” .
  • “We fully transferred all CBIT customers to our in‑house developed cubiX platform… providing a $5 million annual run rate fee income as well as third‑party technology expense reductions.” .
  • “Core earnings per share of $1.36 in the quarter… full year core ROE and ROAA of 11.4 and 92 basis points, respectively.” .
  • “Our CET1 remains in excess of our 11.5% target… TBV per share increased to $54… NPAs remained low at just 25 basis points.” .
  • 2025 plan: “Loan portfolio to increase by about 7% to 10%… NII to conservatively grow by about 7% to 10% [ex 2024 venture accretion]… core efficiency back down to low to mid‑50s.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth cadence and payoffs: Pipeline ~$400–$500M; Q1 seasonally slower; ~$1B of Q4 payoffs yet still strong net growth; expect fewer payoffs in 2025 but opportunistic refis possible .
  • Deposit mix and cubiX balances: Year‑end spot ~$3.6B; above past 15% cap but fully held in cash; management evaluating new limits; Q4 fees ~ $2M; “$5M+” annual minimum guide .
  • NII guidance assumptions: Base case includes two rate cuts; wide range of 0–5 cuts considered .
  • Range drivers (NII 3–7% 2025 headline): rate trajectory and loan growth; average NIB levels are a variable; franchise has sustained +19% annualized NII growth over 5 years .
  • Asset quality detail: Increase in NPAs related to a security placed on NPA; reserve build driven by loan growth; coverage ratios stable .
  • Expense outlook: Professional services peaked ~$5.5–$6.0M monthly in Dec/Jan; tapering through H1’25 to normalized by mid‑year .
  • Securities repositioning timing and NIM: Sales late in quarter; ~5 bps incremental NIM pickup in 2025 .
  • Brokered deposits: Continued reduction with ~$500M remix scheduled in Q1; targeted overlap with higher‑cost deposits around 4.5% .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable due to data access limits at the time of analysis, so we cannot present formal beat/miss figures. We will update with S&P Global consensus when accessible.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Deposit‑led NIM/NII upside: 39 bps q/q drop in deposit costs, rising NIB mix, and a $2B+ high‑quality deposit pipeline provide tangible tailwinds to NII and NIM into 2025 .
  • Digital payments flywheel: cubiX migration complete, fee monetization underway, and balances are large but conservatively managed in cash; diversifies revenue and lowers funding costs .
  • Repositioning creates 2025 earnings leverage: Q4 GAAP EPS absorbed ~$26.7M pre‑tax loss; reinvestment at higher yields and reduced asset sensitivity point to incremental NIM in 2025 (~5 bps) .
  • Operating leverage potential: elevated risk‑management spend should taper by mid‑2025; management targeting core efficiency low–mid 50s in 2025 .
  • Credit remains a differentiator: NPAs 0.25%, NCOs down, reserves/NPLs 316%, limited office CRE exposure (~1% of book) .
  • 2025 guide credible but conservative: loan growth 7–10% with deposit‑led discipline, NII +3–7% headline (with upside from remix timing), and CET1 ~11.5% target sustained .
  • Watch list: trajectory of NIB balances (seasonality/market activity), pace of brokered runoff/remix, and rate‑cut path relative to asset sensitivity—all key to the NII range .

Additional Notes and Press Releases

  • Preferred dividends declared on Series E ($0.61678915) and Series F ($0.59290165) payable March 17, 2025 (record Feb 28) .
  • Q4/FY’24 earnings materials released Jan 23, 2025; webcast Jan 24, 2025 .

Sources: Company press release, 8‑K and investor presentation (Jan 23, 2025), and Q4’24 earnings call transcript (Jan 24, 2025). All citations inline.